Tomorrow is Election Day here in the
US, the day we find out who will be heading up the Free World, who's
ideas have resonated with the people, the kind of system we will be
living under. It will be a real watershed moment in American history
and everyone should stay up and watch the results to the bitter
end—and one way or another, the end will be very bitter—because
it is that important.
That said, from some of the responses I
have been getting from the Left recently regarding my misgivings over
the Obama economic plan, it seems that some of the folks out there
have missed the point when it comes to The One, so here it is in very
plain language: If Obama wins and if his economic policies are
enacted, the economy will tip from recession into depression.
There it is. The economy will do this because you do not strengthen a
weak economy by increasing the cost of doing business. Leaving aside
the ideologically-driven populist, class-warfare arguments that have
dominated the economic discussion up to this point, and leave aside
the Bush-hatred that is pushing otherwise rational people to call for
“change at any price,” the bottom line is that if you increase
taxation and regulation, increase the cost of energy and increase the
cost of labor over what the market would naturally bear, then you
will destroy the economy.
High Taxes
John F. Kennedy understood it (even if
his brother doesn't), so did Ronald Reagan and both of the Bushes.
Lower taxes equals prosperity, higher taxes equals economic malaise.
No nation in history ever taxed their way to prosperity, and yet that
is what Obama wants to do. He once claimed that 95% of Americans
would get a tax cut. Then it was 95% of American taxpayers. He
started at $250,000 as the top level of those who would not see a tax
increase. Then it was $200,000. Then it was $150,000. Then it was
$120,000. Bear in mind, as a senator, he voted to raise taxes on
those who make $42,000 a year, which is probably where the tax
increase threshold will stop, if we're lucky, under an Obama
Administration. That is, if we are lucky, because there is no way he
would be able to pay for the additional trillion-plus dollars in
social spending he is proposing by sticking to his original tax plan.
The higher the income tax, the less
money you have for your family, the less money you have to spend on
consumer goods, the less money you have to spend on services. In
other words, the more you give the government for its assorted wealth
redistribution programs, the less power you have as a consumer and
with a population of weak consumers, the worse the economy will be.
This, of course, doesn't include the
capital gains tax, which is 15% under the Bush tax cuts that Obama
wants to eliminate. Why? Fairness. Consider the following from the
2008 Philadelphia Primary Debate:
Q: You favor an increase in the
capital gains tax, saying, "I certainly would not go above what
existed under Bill Clinton, which was 28%." It's now 15%. That's
almost a doubling if you went to 28%. Bill Clinton dropped the
capital gains tax to 20%, then George Bush has taken it down to 15%.
And in each instance, when the rate dropped, revenues from the tax
increased. And in the 1980s, when the tax was increased to 28%, the
revenues went down.
A: What I've said is that I would look at raising the capital
gains tax for purposes of fairness. The top 50 hedge fund managers
made $29 billion last year--$29 billion for 50 individuals. Those who
are able to work the stock market and amass huge fortunes on capital
gains are paying a lower tax rate than their secretaries. That's not
fair.
Fair? That is like saying it is unfair
to apples that oranges have such thick, sturdy skins. The “Top 50
hedge fund managers” are top hedge fund managers and not, say,
secretaries, for a reason. They are where they are because they are
good at what they do. This is not a slap at secretaries, it is merely
an observation that secretaries are not hedge fund managers any more
than apples are oranges.
This idea of fairness is the very basis
of Obama's tax plan. Take from the most productive, redistribute to
the least so that everything is fair. The problem with this outlook
is that it tends to make those productive folks protective of their
hard-earned assets. According to Rea S. Hederman, Jr. and Patrick
Tyrrell of the Heritage Foundation:
Historically, Senator Obama's tax
rate would be the highest individual tax rate since the Jimmy Carter
days. Tax shelters and tax avoidance strategies were common when the
top marginal rate was 70 percent or higher. This new top tax rate
will again encourage these gimmicks, reducing investment and economic
growth as resources are squandered in an attempt to avoid punitive
taxation.
High tax rates also encourage
capital and income flight to lower-taxed areas. There is ample
evidence in the United States of individuals and businesses moving to
states such as Florida or Delaware to take advantage of their
tax-friendly laws. A higher federal tax rate would encourage
individuals to move assets abroad to take advantage of lower tax
rates in countries such as Canada, France, and Great Britain.
This is not speculation, this is
history and, as the philosopher George Santayana put it so well,
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
The higher the tax rates on the productive members of society, the
fewer jobs and greater number of tax avoidance up to and including
moving shop overseas to escape taxation. While it may seem “fair”
on the surface to impose these taxes and invoke these responses,
those who are hurt the most are always those who can least afford it.
It is their jobs that vanish because the government is demanding
more, their children who face hunger because jobs are drying up as
employers seek to protect themselves from predatory government
taxation. Then they must rely on the government for support and, in
turn, they support the people who enacted these laws that put them in
that terrible situation in the first place. It is a self-perpetuating
nightmare that takes a once-powerful economy and drags it down into a
pitiful socialist welfare state. How is that for fair?
High Energy
You know, when I was asked earlier
about the issue of coal, uh, you know
—
Under my
plan of a cap and trade system, electricity rates would necessarily
skyrocket
.
Even regardless of what I say about whether coal is
good or bad. Because I’m capping greenhouse gases, coal power
plants, you know, natural gas, you name it — whatever the plants
were, whatever the industry was, uh, they would have to retrofit
their operations. That will cost money. They will pass that money on
to consumers.
That was from a January, 2008 interview
with the San
Francisco Chronicle—funny how these little gems are coming to
light now, right before the election—the same one in which The One
also made this little promise:
So, if somebody wants to build a
coal plant, they can —
it’s
just that it will bankrupt them
, because they are going
to be charged a huge sum for all that greenhouse gas that’s being
emitted.
Again, I have to
ask why these little details of Obama's energy plan have been kept
under wraps for so very long? The question is rhetorical, of course,
considering that the mainstream media would sooner commit
professional suicide than cross The One. They were like that with
Bill Clinton as well, and after he made fools of them, you would
think they would know better. Now they look like partisan hacks with
zero journalistic integrity. I wonder if the liberals in charge of
this country's various schools of journalism have a course on
regaining your professional honor? Somehow I doubt it.
Returning to the
issue of energy, how in the world do you climb out of the economic
morass we are in right now if you knowingly enact policies that will,
as Obama himself put it, make electricity rates skyrocket?
You don't. You stay
in the morass and wallow around like some prehistoric ungulate stuck
in a tar pit before finally going under. Knowing this, what could
Obama be thinking? He's not. What he is doing to following liberal
ideology to its logical end. This means that Obama is not working
from the same point of view as you or me or anyone else who might
have trouble paying skyrocketing electricity rates. Nor is he working
from the same point of view as those who produce coal or those who
use that coal to produce energy. He is working from the point of view
of extreme liberalism, and that is the point of view of the radical
environmental movement. It is an issue of jobs versus the
environment, and if Obama wins, jobs lose. Consider, for example, the
response of the coal industry:
Mike Carey, president of the Ohio
Coal Association (OCA), today issued the following statement in
response to just-released remarks from Senator Barack Obama about the
nation’s coal industry.
“Regardless of the timing or
method of the release of these remarks, the message from the
Democratic candidate for President could not be clearer: the
Obama-Biden ticket spells disaster for America’s coal industry and
the tens of thousands of Americans who work in it.
“These undisputed, audio-taped
remarks, which include comments from Senator Obama like ‘I haven’t
been some coal booster’ and ‘if they want to build [coal plants],
they can, but it will bankrupt them’ are extraordinarily misguided.
“It’s evident that this campaign
has been pandering in states like Ohio, Virginia, West Virginia,
Indiana and Pennsylvania to attempt to generate votes from coal
supporters, while keeping his true agenda hidden from the state’s
voters.
“Senator Obama has revealed
himself to be nothing more than a short- sighted, inexperienced
politician willing to say anything to get a vote. But today, the
nation’s coal industry and those who support it have a better
understanding of his true mission, to ‘bankrupt’ our industry,
put tens of thousands out of work and cause unprecedented increases
in electricity prices.
“In addition to providing an
affordable, reliable source of low-cost electricity, domestic coal
holds the key to our nation’s long-term energy security - a goal
that cannot be overlooked during this time of international
instability and economic uncertainty.
Bear in mind that
The One wants to eliminate coal for admittedly ideological reasons.
When the Left knifed the logging industry in the back, at least there
was a spotted owl involved. Here, it's the religious adherence to
junk science and a self-flagellating ideology of fear, guilt and
power-grubbing.
The Obama energy
plan, brought down to its most basic elements, is like this: Force
American society to go green regardless of the success of green
technology by making traditional energy sources cost prohibitive and
use the junk science that supports global warming to whip up enough
popular fear to make the high prices acceptable to an overly-taxed
American people.
This
means that until the so-called green revolution actually gets enough
traction to be a reasonable alternative to fossil fuel—and there is
no guarantee that will happen—energy costs would skyrocket to pay
for the new taxes, fees and regulations. Companies, as we know, never
pay taxes. Consumers do. That means the cost of goods will skyrocket
along with the price of energy. We saw that happen when the price per
barrel of oil was skyrocketing—prices for consumers shot up across
the board. Is there a difference between fuel oil prices and
electricity prices in this regard? None at all. Energy is energy and
the more it costs, the more everything costs, and who gets hit the
hardest? The poor, those who can least afford to have the cost of
these basics go up, and also, by Obama's own admission, the little
bit of money they would get under his “spread the wealth” tax
plan would not touch the costs in energy these people would have to
absorb. How is that for fair?
High Labor
From Barack Obama's website:
Obama and Biden will strengthen the
ability of workers to organize unions. He will fight for passage of
the Employee Free Choice Act. Obama and Biden will ensure that his
labor appointees support workers' rights and will work to ban the
permanent replacement of striking workers. Obama and Biden will also
increase the minimum wage and index it to inflation to ensure it
rises every year.
-
Ensure Freedom to Unionize: Obama
and Biden believe that workers should have the freedom to choose
whether to join a union without harassment or intimidation from
their employers. Obama cosponsored and is strong advocate for the
Employee Free Choice Act, a bipartisan effort to assure that workers
can exercise their right to organize. He will continue to fight for
EFCA's passage and sign it into law.
-
Fight Attacks on Workers' Right to
Organize: Obama has fought the Bush National Labor Relations Board
(NLRB) efforts to strip workers of their right to organize. He is a
cosponsor of legislation to overturn the NLRB's "Kentucky
River" decisions classifying hundreds of thousands of nurses,
construction, and professional workers as "supervisors"
who are not protected by federal labor laws.
-
Protect Striking Workers: Obama
and Biden support the right of workers to bargain collectively and
strike if necessary. They will work to ban the permanent replacement
of striking workers, so workers can stand up for themselves without
worrying about losing their livelihoods.
-
Raise the Minimum Wage: Barack
Obama and Joe Biden will raise the minimum wage, index it to
inflation and increase the Earned Income Tax Credit to make sure
that full-time workers earn a living wage that allows them to raise
their families and pay for basic needs.
Sounds great, right? The One is really
going to protect our workers. Not really. He and Joe the Senator are
actually protecting unions, not workers, repaying them for years of
loyal fealty regardless of the feelings and opinions of their rank
and file members. Raising the minimum wage translates into a raise
for union members. Banning the retention of strike replacements take
away one of business' most effective means of dealing with strikes,
as does interfering in the way employees are classified. The worst of
this is the Employee Free Choice Act, which makes all union votes
public and opens up workers who don't wish to unionize to harassment
and intimidation, all under the guise of protecting workers from
harassment and intimidation.
The upshot of all of this is an
increase in the price of labor across the country as unions start to
exercise their muscle again. Unfortunately, the more labor costs, the
fewer people get employed. The stronger the unions are, at the
expense of the companies they work for, the higher the costs of those
company's products and, as a consequence, the lower the demand and
that, in turn, puts the company on financial thin ice.
My father tells a story about
Studebaker and their plant in South Bend, Indiana. The plant paid a
decent wage—not what auto workers were making in Detroit, but
sufficient—and with their wages the workers supported a wide
variety of businesses in the town. When the time came for contract
negotiations, the union demanded the same wages as their Detroit
counterparts and the company said they could not do it. There was a
strike, and that strike lasted a long time. It wasn't just the
company or the workers, it was the whole town that felt the pain of
that strike as businesses began to go under since the strikers could
no longer afford their goods. Neither side was willing to budge. The
union wanted what it wanted and would take no less. The company knew
what it could do and what it could not do. Eventually, Studebaker
moved to Canada. They shut down their South Bend facility and all
those workers were suddenly out of a job.
It has to be remembered that what
unions do—and how unionized companies respond—affects more than
simply the workers and their families. That strike put many a good
small business out of business, and it put many people unrelated to
the union or the Studebaker company out of work as well. How fair is
that?
The Bottom Line
Barack Hussein Obama's economic plans
for this country fall into two categories:
-
Ideological
-
Payback
The one category they do not fall into
is “Things that are good for the American people.” When wanting
to hang onto your earnings equates to greed, when you can't pin down
a definition of “middle class” for the so-called “middle class
tax cut,” when a candidate openly says that he will send your
energy, labor and tax costs through the roof, then you need really
ask yourself if this is the person you want at the helm of
government. Obama's plan can only lead to two, equally unappetizing
consequences: ruin or a centralized command economy. Which do you
think he is going to go for, and knowing what you know, are you
willing to accept the consequences to your businesses and your lives?
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